The 10
key concepts to know and remember as we start a
new year (2016) of fear, politics, endless dilemmas and a perceived absence of
any alternatives.
1. Technology and information
advances exponentially, while human nature advances glacially, and our species
capacity for effective governance remains static or is in decline.
If you understand this and respond
according, the other nine are just icing on the New Year ’s Day cake.
2. The globalization of technology,
information and economics means that the US dominance in military, economics
and global leadership will continue to be diminished, regardless of who is
President or what congress does if its solutions continue to be based on the
concept of national independence (national sovereignty).
3. Advances in the power,
affordability, pervasiveness and miniaturization of technology will continue to
offer small groups and even individual’s unprecedented capacity for doing
profound good and/or catastrophic harm.
4. The dual use nature of every
technology makes it virtually impossible to control how it is used without an
extremely intrusive/ invasive inspection regime which few people or nations
will accept peacefully.
5. Advances in technology give far
greater advantage to offensive capabilities than playing defense.
6. Increasing dependence on
technology increases vulnerability to human and technological errors,
unanticipated events and/ or intentional sabotage.
7. Advances in technology are making
it increasingly difficult to monitor or detect the movement of financial
resources or weapons, but easier and easier to monitor and detect violations in
human rights or changes to the environment.
8. The human minds capacity to
believe anything and not even do what it knows needs to be done.
9. Superhuman stupidity is still a
far greater threat to our security than artificial intelligence.
10. Human rights are inalienable and
universal and without global justice enforcing them there will be no means of
ensuring individual, national or global security.
In conclusion, one would be foolish
to predict any breakthroughs in national or global governance without our
leaders experiencing catastrophic events or a global movement of movements by
“we the people” forcing urgent transformation in the global systems and
structures that are now failing us, centered on these ten concepts.
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